Polling Hypocrisy

Today, Maurice de Hond (the most famous Dutch ‘pollster’) said that as of now the Freedom Party (PVV) of Geert Wilders is the biggest party in the Netherlands. Question: How can a party have become smaller or larger, without any kind of formal elections? Answer: Because a tiny fraction of the population has said so.

I am surprised how much attention polls get in media, in many countries. Every week, a new poll is published and treated as some kind of reliable, trustworthy, perhaps even (quasi-)scientic source of information. A certain politician may have made a public appearance, or made a mistake, or whatever, after which the next polls are used to see what the consequences have been by comparing them to earlier polling results. Continue reading

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