Today, Maurice de Hond (the most famous Dutch ‘pollster’) said that as of now the Freedom Party (PVV) of Geert Wilders is the biggest party in the Netherlands. Question: How can a party have become smaller or larger, without any kind of formal elections? Answer: Because a tiny fraction of the population has said so.
I am surprised how much attention polls get in media, in many countries. Every week, a new poll is published and treated as some kind of reliable, trustworthy, perhaps even (quasi-)scientic source of information. A certain politician may have made a public appearance, or made a mistake, or whatever, after which the next polls are used to see what the consequences have been by comparing them to earlier polling results. Continue reading